USD/MXN On the Rise Amid FOMC Minutes
The financial landscape is witnessing a notable surge in the USD/MXN, ignited by the impactful minutes disclosed by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). As we delve into the intricacies of this upward trajectory. It becomes evident that the committee is contemplating raising interest rates should the data fall short of reflecting progress toward the inflationary goal. This revelation sets the stage for a crucial Wednesday release of Mexican Retail Sales data. Despite a momentary negative undercurrent during the Asian session, the USD/MXN maintains its position around 17.2000, driven by the slightly hawkish sentiments revealed in the FOMC meeting minutes on Tuesday.
FOMC’s Stance: Tightening Monetary Levers in Response to Data
The FOMC members articulate a willingness to tighten the tools of monetary policy. If subsequent data fails to demonstrate progress toward the Federal Reserve’s inflation target. A consensus prevails among board members that policy should remain restrictive for an extended period. At least until inflation consistently descends toward the Committee’s target.
Challenges for the US Dollar: DXY Struggles Despite Treasury Rate Boost
The US Dollar Index (DXY) encounters challenges in maintaining its upward momentum, currently stabilizing around 103.60. Despite an increase in US Treasury rates on Wednesday, the US Dollar faces obstacles. Notably, the 10-year and 2-year US bond rates have risen to 4.41% and 4.88%, respectively.
Mexican Market Dynamics: Retail Sales Surge Expected
Projections point toward an upswing in Mexican Retail Sales upon their release on Wednesday. Simultaneously, the disclosure of November 1st Half-Month Inflation figures on Thursday is anticipated. Expectations lean toward a marginal ascent in the Mexico Consumer Price Index (CPI), although the core CPI is expected to experience a certain descent.
Banxico’s Move: Shifting Stance and Economic Outlook
The Bank of Mexico (Banxico) is poised to unveil the minutes from its recent meeting, revealing a decision to maintain prevailing rates with a shift in language from “for an extended period” to “for some time. Preliminary estimates disclosed by Reuters suggest a 2.9% annual growth in Mexico’s economy for October.
Market Focus on US Data and Mexican Economic Indicators
Investors direct their attention toward US data on Wednesday, including weekly jobless claims and the Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey. The economic calendar in Mexico maintains a sparse schedule, with traders eagerly awaiting economic data that could influence decisions in Banxico futures. Stay tuned for the latest market developments as these dynamics unfold.
