The GBP/JPY currency pair reveals a renewed surge in positivity, overturning earlier nighttime losses. Despite this intraday ascent, a slowdown ensues following the disappointing release of the UK’s macroeconomic data. Persistent skepticism surrounding a potential policy shift by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) exerts pressure on the Japanese Yen (JPY), offering substantial support to the GBP/JPY pair.
Resurgence of Positivity in Midweek Trading
As the week unfolds, GBP/JPY showcases a revitalized upward trend, counteracting earlier nighttime setbacks. However, this optimistic trajectory encounters a setback triggered by lackluster UK macro data, causing spot prices to retract slightly from the daily peak and settle below the psychological barrier of 183.00.
Attractive GBP/JPY Surge Offers for Dip-Buyers Near Mid-182.00s
On Wednesday, GBP/JPY allures dip-buyers, hovering around the mid-182.00s and sustaining intraday gains during the early European session. Despite this, the currency pair experiences a dip in response to uninspiring UK macro data, challenging the psychological threshold of 183.00.
Macroeconomic Challenges in the UK
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the UK reports a 0.3% contraction in the economy for October, contradicting consensus predictions of a 0.1% downturn and falling short of the 0.2% expansion observed in the previous month. Another report underscores the worsening decline in the UK industrial sector for the same period. These revelations, combined with an inconclusive UK jobs report on Tuesday, hint at a more pronounced deceleration in Average Earnings over the three months leading to October. This fuels speculations that the Bank of England’s (BoE) inclination towards rate hikes may face a reversal in 2024.
Fundamental Landscape and Currency Dynamics
The fundamental landscape exerts downward pressure on the British Pound (GBP). Simultaneously, the Japanese Yen (JPY) undergoes a modest depreciation, acting as a beneficial force for the GBP/JPY pair. Reports indicating the BoJ’s intention to maintain negative interest rates in December, coupled with optimism regarding additional stimulus from China, strengthen the prevailing bullish market sentiment. However, the absence of sustained buying interest calls for caution among bullish traders.
Technical Analysis and Trading Outlook of GBP/JPY Surge
A technical analysis reveals that the recent breakdown and the subsequent failure to surpass the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) suggest vulnerability in the GBP/JPY pair, potentially leading to further downside. Any additional upward movement towards the previously breached support-now-resistance, located around the 183.75 level, could be perceived as an opportune moment for selling. However, sustained buying activity exceeding the weekly peak in the vicinity of 184.30-184.35 recorded on Monday would nullify the short-term pessimistic outlook for the pair.
